Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 2 | $0.460 | $1.43 | +$0.51 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 1.61K | $0.470 | $757.15 | Mar 21, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 0.99 |
| $0.790 |
| $0.94 |
| +$0.16 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 1.05 | $0.501 | $0.88 | +$0.35 |
 Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 0.99 | $0.701 | $0.83 | +$0.13 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 0.74 | $0.850 | $0.71 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.61 | $0.840 | $0.56 | +$0.05 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 0.5 | $0.903 | $0.5 | +$0.05 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 0.5 | $0.942 | $0.49 | +$0.02 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 0.5 | $0.880 | $0.48 | +$0.04 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 0.5 | $0.820 | $0.46 | +$0.05 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 0.7 | $0.330 | $0.32 | +$0.09 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.35 | $0.170 | $0.28 | -$0.12 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 4.34 | $0.090 | $0.21 | -$0.18 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 0.22 | $0.950 | $0.2 | -$0.01 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 27.61 | $0.050 | $0.12 | -$1.26 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 0.32 | $0.630 | $0.12 | -$0.08 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes | 2.05 | $0.400 | $0.11 | -$0.71 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.18 | $0.258 | $0.09 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 0.73 | $0.220 | $0.09 | -$0.07 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.609 | $0.07 | -$0.23 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 0.8 | $0.200 | $0.06 | -$0.1 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | Yes | 1.91 | $0.110 | $0.04 | -$0.17 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.17 | $0.120 | $0.02 | -$0.01 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.6 | $0.172 | $0 | -$0.1 |
| buy |
| 325.52 |
| $0.580 |
| $188.8 |
| Mar 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 980.49 | $0.490 | $480.44 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 7.19K | $0.465 | $3.35K | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 71.23 | $0.360 | $25.64 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 1.82K | $0.340 | $620.15 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 2.62K | $0.367 | $961.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.31K | $0.291 | $961.93 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 1.39K | $0.354 | $492.63 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 746.41 | $0.660 | $492.63 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.360 | $428.03 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.61 | $0.530 | $1.38 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.032 | $1.3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 2 | $0.760 | $1.52 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 2 | $0.820 | $1.64 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.060 | $1.38 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 2 | $0.860 | $1.72 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 2 | $0.910 | $1.82 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 2 | $0.910 | $1.82 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 2 | $0.910 | $1.82 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 2 | $0.910 | $1.82 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Germany join the Board of Peace?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.011 | $1.37 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 2 | $0.936 | $1.87 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No | sell | 2.13 | $0.891 | $1.9 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 2 | $0.967 | $1.93 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Lille win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 2 | $0.978 | $1.96 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | sell | 3 | $0.680 | $2.04 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Yes | sell | 43.99 | $0.048 | $2.1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.100 | $2.3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes | sell | 4.6 | $0.530 | $2.44 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?Yes | sell | 60.5 | $0.045 | $2.73 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?No | sell | 38.68 | $0.054 | $2.09 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | sell | 15.49 | $0.190 | $2.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 13.77 | $0.260 | $3.58 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026?No | sell | 10.12 | $0.406 | $4.11 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | sell | 15.93 | $0.270 | $4.3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 4.68 | $0.925 | $4.33 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyYes | sell | 37.32 | $0.120 | $4.48 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.358 | $5.37 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts?No | sell | 9.04 | $0.740 | $6.69 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?No | sell | 9.59 | $0.850 | $8.15 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 28.5 | $0.290 | $8.26 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.89 | $0.620 | $8.61 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 30.5 | $0.281 | $8.57 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.095 | $9.95 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes | sell | 30.41 | $0.301 | $9.14 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.353 | $10.58 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 132.56 | $0.069 | $9.18 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 11.81 | $0.911 | $10.76 | Mar 10, 2026 |