Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.67 | $0.300 | $11 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 131.67 |
| $0.060 |
| $7.9 |
| Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 French election called by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be less than $170 on September 30?Yes | buy | 48.33 | $0.021 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 95.45 | $0.010 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.033 | $3 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.065 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 36.63 | $0.273 | $10 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down on June 25?Up | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on June 25?Up | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?Down | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.018 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut 50-100k employees in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.07 | $0.290 | $0.89 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo sign with a new club during the transfer window?Yes | buy | 63.41 | $0.079 | $5 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)Arsenal | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 60-61°F on March 17?Yes | buy | 440 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 17?Yes | buy | 761.09 | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.057 | $2 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.010 | $3.5 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Big Balls removed from DOGE in February?Yes | sell | 27.57 | $0.005 | $0.14 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Germany declare a state of emergency in February?Yes | sell | 42.34 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Feb 25, 2025 |