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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 8.19 | $0.977 | $8.17 | +$0.17 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 71.36 | $0.981 | $70 | May 31, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 4.17 |
| $0.960 |
| $4 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 20.37 | $0.589 | $12 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?No | buy | 12.39 | $0.888 | $11 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.08 | $0.990 | $8 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?No | buy | 15.21 | $0.986 | $15 | Mar 10, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.42 | $0.955 | $9 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.17 | $0.989 | $15 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No | buy | 12.47 | $0.962 | $12 | Mar 10, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?No | buy | 7.78 | $0.900 | $7 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.977 | $8 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.981 | $9 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.990 | $9 | Mar 10, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?Up | buy | 15.08 | $0.995 | $15 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 23.54 | $0.460 | $10.83 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Páfos FC | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10?No | buy | 12.22 | $0.900 | $11 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)AFC Ajax | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)PSV | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-12-09?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.880 | $11 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?No | buy | 11.7 | $0.940 | $11 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Liverpool FC | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?No | buy | 11.83 | $0.930 | $11 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-12-09?No | buy | 12.79 | $0.860 | $11 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?No | buy | 14.43 | $0.998 | $14.4 | Nov 3, 2025 |
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.996 | $10.2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 31.47 | $0.197 | $6.2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 3?Yes | buy | 10.21 | $0.999 | $10.2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No | buy | 11.73 | $0.955 | $11.2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 37.01 | $0.999 | $36.97 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.999 | $2.5 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in October?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will D.C. United SC win on 2025-09-20?No | buy | 52.47 | $0.890 | $46.7 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-21?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?No | buy | 33.94 | $0.990 | $33.6 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?No | buy | 94.4 | $0.964 | $91 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Sunday?No | buy | 300.25 | $0.033 | $10 | Aug 10, 2025 |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?No | buy | 150.96 | $0.987 | $149.06 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will FYRE Festival 2 sell out?No | buy | 149.06 | $0.987 | $147.14 | Jun 4, 2025 |