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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 836.43 | $0.670 | $748.61 | +$188.2 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | 13d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.85K |
| $0.319 |
| $527.87 |
| -$63.44 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.320 |
| $96 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany | buy | 600 | $0.750 | $450 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.001 | $0.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 684.93 | $0.730 | $500 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.290 | $290 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.583 | $816.2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.660 | $594 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.440 | $528 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 799.99 | $0.680 | $543.99 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.670 | $536 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.640 | $640 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?No | buy | 700 | $0.710 | $497 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?No | buy | 800 | $0.550 | $440 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?No | buy | 1K | $0.420 | $420 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.470 | $94 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?No | buy | 280 | $0.480 | $134.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 662.02 | $0.210 | $139.02 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 5.87K | $0.130 | $762.65 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 5.92K | $0.160 | $947.08 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 14.46K | $0.160 | $2.31K | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?No | sell | 751.84 | $0.982 | $738.6 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?No | sell | 954 | $0.990 | $944.47 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 3.5K | $0.170 | $595 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.060 | $600 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 8.39K | $0.124 | $1.04K | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?Yes | buy | 6.48K | $0.229 | $1.48K | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'Peace' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 4.34K | $0.280 | $1.21K | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Zelenskyy' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 316.25 | $0.817 | $258.33 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?Yes | buy | 5.65K | $0.238 | $1.35K | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.500 | $500 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Macbook Air M4 released before April?No | buy | 352.72 | $0.202 | $71.39 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.532 | $1.14K | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?Yes | buy | 8.08K | $0.213 | $1.72K | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?Yes | buy | 61.29 | $0.190 | $11.65 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 75 | $0.690 | $51.75 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.554 | $1.14K | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 873.56 | $0.649 | $567.01 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.517 | $528.42 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?No | sell | 170 | $0.650 | $110.5 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?Yes | buy | 375.55 | $0.190 | $71.35 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?Yes | buy | 3.92K | $0.267 | $1.05K | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 3.98K | $0.690 | $2.75K | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | sell | 446.77 | $0.002 | $0.89 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | sell | 5.3K | $0.003 | $16.78 | Feb 28, 2025 |