Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 12.05 | $0.310 | $9.46 | +$5.72 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2 | $0.530 | $1.06 | 2h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 19.83 |
| $0.281 |
| $9.17 |
| +$3.59 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 6.83 | $0.823 | $5.84 | +$0.22 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 7.04 | $0.670 | $5.07 | +$0.35 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 5.15 | $0.970 | $4.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 9.52 | $0.486 | $4.21 | -$0.42 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | No | 4.75 | $0.900 | $4.1 | -$0.17 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 4 | $0.970 | $3.88 | -$0 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 4.25 | $0.917 | $3.42 | -$0.48 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.2 | $0.899 | $2.89 | +$0.02 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 36.69 | $0.085 | $2.88 | -$0.24 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 2.23 | $0.955 | $2.08 | -$0.05 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.98 | $0.985 | $1.94 | -$0.01 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 1.95 | $0.820 | $1.91 | +$0.31 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.78 | $0.360 | $1.79 | +$0.43 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 21.85 | $0.200 | $1.65 | -$2.73 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.88 | $0.850 | $1.63 | +$0.03 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 1.67 | $0.860 | $1.52 | +$0.08 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 2.07 | $0.740 | $1.35 | -$0.18 |
 Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 1.3 | $0.900 | $1.24 | +$0.07 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 1.76 | $0.630 | $1.12 | +$0.01 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 2 | $0.530 | $1.09 | +$0.03 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 3.97 | $0.290 | $0.85 | -$0.3 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | Yes | 27.6 | $0.031 | $0.32 | -$0.54 |
| sell |
| 1.34 |
| $0.850 |
| $1.14 |
| 21h ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.630 | $1.11 | 1d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.985 | $1.95 | 5d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.900 | $1.09 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 2.37 | $0.860 | $2.04 | 5d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 49.6 | $0.022 | $1.09 | 5d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.850 | $1.6 | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.77 | $0.008 | $0.06 | 8d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.4 | $0.100 | $0.94 | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.72 | $0.008 | $0.09 | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.32 | $0.008 | $0.26 | 8d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.11 | $0.125 | $2.39 | 8d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.4 | $0.120 | $1.13 | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.900 | $1.78 | 8d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.75 | $0.130 | $1.14 | 8d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.997 | $0.28 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.860 | $1.44 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.997 | $1.01 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.997 | $0.08 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.997 | $0.15 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.959 | $0.01 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 27.6 | $0.031 | $0.86 | 9d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.81 | $0.012 | $0.61 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 1.43 | $0.840 | $1.2 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.820 | $0.07 | 9d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.1 | $0.130 | $1.05 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | sell | 2.26 | $0.030 | $0.07 | 10d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 3.27 | $0.890 | $2.91 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 17.73 | $0.027 | $0.48 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 28.86 | $0.027 | $0.78 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.77 | $0.028 | $0.05 | 10d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.1 | $0.150 | $1.21 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 97.96 | $0.032 | $3.13 | 10d ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | sell | 1.98 | $0.890 | $1.76 | 10d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.005 | $0.01 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 4.09 | $0.950 | $3.89 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 4.19 | $0.050 | $0.21 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 10.46 | $0.050 | $0.52 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 14.65 | $0.070 | $1.03 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.16 | $0.052 | $0.16 | 13d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.8 | $0.620 | $1.12 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.610 | $0.05 | 14d ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.910 | $1.8 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.228 | $0.46 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.580 | $1.1 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.45 | $0.073 | $1.13 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.920 | $1.12 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.970 | $1.49 | 15d ago |