Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 439.48 | $0.023 | $10 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 400 |
| $0.071 |
| $28.4 |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.139 | $41.66 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.340 | $100 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Brown University shooter arrested by December 16?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 197.3 | $0.132 | $26.06 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes | sell | 202.95 | $0.012 | $2.44 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Kast win by at least 25%?Yes | buy | 55.69 | $0.090 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 7.02 | $0.233 | $1.64 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?Yes | buy | 134.02 | $0.224 | $30 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Kast win by 5% to 10%?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.075 | $7.45 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 273.52 | $0.360 | $98.47 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.171 | $17.1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.171 | $17.1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Kast win by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 635.69 | $0.016 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 399.99 | $0.025 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 136.94 | $0.146 | $20 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Kast win by 5% to 10%?Yes | buy | 316.6 | $0.063 | $20 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 456.11 | $0.024 | $11.05 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 675.53 | $0.015 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 136.58 | $0.146 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 646.56 | $0.031 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 94.74 | $0.950 | $90 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 205.55 | $0.973 | $200 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.084 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 523.63 | $0.019 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 72.46 | $0.680 | $49.27 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 72.46 | $0.680 | $49.27 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 119.98 | $0.848 | $101.75 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes | buy | 212.8 | $0.235 | $50 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.028 | $5.6 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | buy | 506.07 | $0.988 | $500 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No | sell | 126.18 | $0.960 | $121.17 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Yes | sell | 367.61 | $0.054 | $19.68 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.120 | $48 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 156.65 | $0.790 | $123.75 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 170.86 | $0.059 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 477.3 | $0.105 | $50 | Dec 7, 2025 |