Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 52.09 | $0.603 | $36.46 | +$5.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 33.28 |
| $0.826 |
| $28.79 |
| +$1.29 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 129.9 | $0.258 | $26.63 | -$6.87 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 23.93 | $0.724 | $19.98 | +$2.65 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 7.22 | $0.693 | $6.86 | +$1.86 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 6.8 | $0.550 | $4.61 | +$0.87 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 12.48 | $0.321 | $4.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 3.62 | $0.970 | $3.51 | +$0 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 3.55 | $0.970 | $3.42 | -$0.02 |
 Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 3.37 | $0.830 | $3.37 | +$0.57 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 4.46 | $0.843 | $3.23 | -$0.53 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 23.65 | $0.458 | $3.19 | -$7.64 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 3.46 | $0.868 | $2.93 | -$0.07 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.360 | $2.73 | +$1.7 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 36.4 | $0.165 | $2.73 | -$3.27 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.38 | $0.962 | $2.34 | +$0.05 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 15.33 | $0.391 | $2.22 | -$3.78 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 39.47 | $0.244 | $2.17 | -$7.44 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 7.42 | $0.270 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 26.66 | $0.204 | $2.13 | -$3.32 |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 2.04 | $0.980 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 7.3 | $0.649 | $1.68 | -$3.06 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 5.54 | $0.388 | $1.61 | -$0.54 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 46.47 | $0.043 | $1.51 | -$0.49 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| buy |
| 1.06 |
| $0.940 |
| $1 |
| 5d ago |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.096 | $1 | 5d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.995 | $3.2 | 17d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.971 | $3.07 | 19d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.962 | $2.29 | 19d ago |
 Will Eddie Speir be the FL-16 Republican nominee?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.557 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.528 | $1.67 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?Yes | buy | 2.26 | $0.443 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.998 | $1.05 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.433 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.192 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?Yes | buy | 4.74 | $0.211 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 538.34 | $0.200 | $107.67 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.778 | $1.05 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.568 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Todd Blanche be the next Attorney General?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.899 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.548 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.547 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 3.59 | $0.615 | $2.21 | Aug 2, 2026 |