Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 99.55 | $0.523 | $55 | +$2.94 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.967 | $1.15 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 172.98 |
| $0.587 |
| $18.16 |
| -$83.3 |
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No| sell |
| 5.97 |
| $0.966 |
| $5.77 |
| Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | sell | 8.69 | $0.960 | $8.34 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.950 | $0.29 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.950 | $2.83 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.405 | $13.06 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | buy | 19.13 | $0.980 | $18.75 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 13.9 | $0.970 | $13.48 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 99.55 | $0.523 | $52.06 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | sell | 36.44 | $0.950 | $34.62 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | sell | 14.38 | $0.940 | $13.52 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | sell | 95.18 | $0.840 | $79.95 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | sell | 15.19 | $0.903 | $13.72 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 16.64 | $0.940 | $15.64 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | sell | 2.72 | $0.920 | $2.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | sell | 0.76 | $0.900 | $0.68 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | buy | 164.67 | $0.977 | $160.84 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 16.64 | $0.949 | $15.79 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.870 | $7.09 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.830 | $33.2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.849 | $188.66 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 23.76 | $0.415 | $9.86 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 82.72 | $0.992 | $82.06 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 38.99 | $0.951 | $37.06 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.950 | $0.1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 5.78 | $0.930 | $5.38 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.700 | $1.09 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 127.61 | $0.502 | $64.04 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Yes | sell | 38.19 | $0.883 | $33.74 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Yes | buy | 38.19 | $0.835 | $31.88 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.820 | $1.69 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.820 | $1.09 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.820 | $1.09 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?No | sell | 182.54 | $0.939 | $171.41 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.9 | $0.700 | $2.03 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.91 | $0.850 | $2.47 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?No | buy | 182.55 | $0.829 | $151.33 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 26.06 | $0.470 | $12.25 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Yes | buy | 172.98 | $0.587 | $101.46 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.750 | $13.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.249 | $1.7 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor SecretaryYes | buy | 44.05 | $0.923 | $40.67 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | buy | 33.89 | $0.380 | $12.88 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No | buy | 110.14 | $0.640 | $70.45 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 35.33 | $0.050 | $1.78 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 35.34 | $0.238 | $8.41 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.71 | $0.930 | $5.31 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETDown | buy | 9.4 | $0.565 | $5.31 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.542 | $5.31 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETDown | buy | 174 | $0.229 | $39.86 | Jun 18, 2026 |