Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 20-26?No | buy | 127.82 | $0.016 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 418.07 |
| $0.003 |
| $1.29 |
| Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the January meeting?Yes | sell | 755.56 | $0.002 | $1.51 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 572.22 | $0.003 | $1.72 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 208.3 | $0.012 | $2.51 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 338.09 | $0.011 | $3.6 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.002 | $3.33 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the January meeting?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.001 | $1.88 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.031 | $6.2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?Yes | sell | 416.66 | $0.009 | $3.78 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.005 | $4.17 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Yes | sell | 459.87 | $0.005 | $2.31 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?Yes | sell | 125.97 | $0.028 | $3.57 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?Yes | sell | 561.33 | $0.008 | $4.28 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 15K | $0.001 | $15 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.5K | $0.003 | $22.5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 909.09 | $0.041 | $37.27 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.035 | $7 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 338.09 | $0.015 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?Yes | buy | 498.91 | $0.010 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 208.3 | $0.024 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 418.08 | $0.024 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?No | buy | 437.48 | $0.011 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?No | buy | 254.55 | $0.020 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 15?No | sell | 76.92 | $0.018 | $1.38 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?No | sell | 584.55 | $0.013 | $7.35 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 15?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | buy | 110.1 | $0.045 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | sell | 432.68 | $0.704 | $304.41 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 249.82 | $0.020 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.009 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 125.98 | $0.032 | $4 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the January meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?Yes | buy | 561.33 | $0.009 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the January meeting?Yes | buy | 755.57 | $0.007 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 459.87 | $0.011 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the January Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the January Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 572.22 | $0.009 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Bikinis back on X by January 16?Yes | buy | 230.4 | $0.022 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 315.09 | $0.016 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?No | buy | 584.56 | $0.017 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |