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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 38.6 | $0.590 | $22.19 | -$0.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 36.91 | $0.230 | $8.49 | 14m ago |
|
| No |
| 27.75 |
| $0.640 |
| $17.9 |
| +$0.14 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | No | 23.32 | $0.572 | $17.37 | +$4.04 |
 Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30? | No | 15.24 | $0.820 | $13.03 | +$0.53 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 46.91 | $0.226 | $8.68 | -$1.91 |
 US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? | Yes | 102.64 | $0.168 | $7.7 | -$9.53 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 7.71 | $0.709 | $6.47 | +$1.01 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | Yes | 24.2 | $0.150 | $3.75 | +$0.12 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.210 |
| $1.05 |
| 14m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 14m ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 49.78 | $0.480 | $23.89 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 49.78 | $0.480 | $23.89 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 54.71 | $0.350 | $19.15 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 44.85 | $0.340 | $15.25 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 23.39 | $0.350 | $8.19 | 16h ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.030 | $0.01 | 16h ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 4.71 | $0.020 | $0.09 | 16h ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 0.45 | $0.320 | $0.14 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 19.9 | $0.390 | $7.76 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.5 | $0.380 | $1.33 | 17h ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Yes | buy | 24.2 | $0.150 | $3.63 | 17h ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.310 | $1.69 | 17h ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.180 | $1.09 | 17h ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 149.25 | $0.130 | $19.4 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 38.76 | $0.410 | $15.89 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 22.62 | $0.400 | $9.05 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 4.02 | $0.420 | $1.69 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 6.22 | $0.540 | $3.36 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 65.4 | $0.467 | $30.54 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 37.5 | $0.520 | $19.5 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 29.18 | $0.560 | $16.34 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 24.3 | $0.619 | $15.05 | 18h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.25 | $0.540 | $1.76 | 19h ago |
| Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?No | buy | 15.24 | $0.820 | $12.5 | 20h ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.89 | $0.810 | $3.15 | 21h ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 4.97 | $0.640 | $3.18 | 21h ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 22.78 | $0.640 | $14.58 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 97.2 | $0.389 | $37.81 | 22h ago |
 Will Trump say "Tunnel to Towers" during remarks at Steel Across America?No | sell | 6.4 | $0.004 | $0.03 | 22h ago |
| Will Trump say "Tunnel to Towers" during remarks at Steel Across America?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.450 | $1.08 | 22h ago |
| Will Trump say "Tunnel to Towers" during remarks at Steel Across America?No | buy | 4 | $0.450 | $1.8 | 22h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.75 | $0.140 | $6.97 | 23h ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.830 | $1.68 | 23h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 75.39 | $0.590 | $44.48 | 23h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.54 | $0.500 | $16.77 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 49.73 | $0.330 | $16.41 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 49.74 | $0.340 | $16.91 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 84.86 | $0.670 | $56.86 | 1d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 98.8 | $0.470 | $46.44 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 36.36 | $0.590 | $21.45 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.78 | $0.550 | $0.43 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 34.75 | $0.540 | $18.77 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 35.54 | $0.560 | $19.9 | 1d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.630 | $1.82 | 1d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.650 | $2.31 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 49.4 | $0.470 | $23.22 | 1d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.770 | $1.09 | 1d ago |