Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.530 | $19.91 | +$9.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?No | sell | 3.64 | $0.530 | $1.93 | Apr 28, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 15.64 |
| $0.878 |
| $15.62 |
| +$1.89 |
 Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 11.47 | $0.872 | $11.4 | +$1.4 |
| Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 10.83 | $0.796 | $9.78 | +$1.16 |
 Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? | No | 7.7 | $0.495 | $6.28 | +$2.46 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 5 | $0.910 | $5 | +$0.45 |
 Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.840 | $4.85 | +$0.65 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.780 | $4.58 | +$0.68 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 4.51 | $0.728 | $3.54 | +$0.26 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.240 | $0.88 | -$0.33 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 13.82 | $0.320 | $0.76 | -$3.66 |
| sell |
| 1.16 |
| $0.540 |
| $0.63 |
| Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?No | sell | 5.79 | $0.560 | $3.24 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.560 | $1.01 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 5.79 | $0.008 | $0.05 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.008 | $0.02 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 6.54 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.150 | $0.16 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.160 | $0.17 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.180 | $0 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.440 | $0.04 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 0.68 | $0.380 | $0.26 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.390 | $0.04 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 0.37 | $0.390 | $0.14 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 0.51 | $0.430 | $0.22 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 0.54 | $0.400 | $0.22 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 0.54 | $0.410 | $0.22 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.971 | $0.29 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?Yes | sell | 31.3 | $0.681 | $21.32 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 4.31 | $0.380 | $1.64 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 4.31 | $0.374 | $1.61 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.410 | $0.44 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.830 | $0.08 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.998 | $0.08 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.998 | $0.17 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.998 | $0.03 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.88 | $0.998 | $0.88 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.19 | $0.570 | $1.25 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.520 | $0.85 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.520 | $0.02 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.520 | $0.01 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.270 | $0.01 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.260 | $0.01 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.260 | $0.01 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.310 | $0.02 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?No | sell | 10.87 | $0.570 | $6.2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?No | sell | 4.12 | $0.800 | $3.3 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 0.53 | $0.129 | $0.07 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 2.48 | $0.130 | $0.32 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?No | sell | 12.68 | $0.986 | $12.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.490 | $0.05 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.490 | $0.01 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.490 | $0.14 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.490 | $0.09 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 4.73 | $0.995 | $4.71 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?No | buy | 7.95 | $0.984 | $7.82 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.48 | $0.480 | $2.15 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.53 | $0.999 | $16.51 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?No | buy | 4.73 | $0.982 | $4.64 | Apr 24, 2026 |