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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 4.76 | $0.840 | $4.68 | +$0.68 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 6.25 |
| $0.320 |
| $0.7 |
| -$1.3 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 30.3 | $0.033 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
| buy |
| 4.14 |
| $0.724 |
| $3 |
| Dec 25, 2025 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.28 | $0.973 | $10 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.152 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.132 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.311 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.215 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Yes | buy | 154.29 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 18?Down | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.840 | $4 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 34.99 | $0.029 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.104 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 23.82 | $0.042 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |