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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 41.19 | $0.964 | $39.7 | May 27, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 33.29 |
| $0.987 |
| $32.86 |
| May 27, 2026 |
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?No | sell | 22 | $0.894 | $19.67 | May 27, 2026 |
GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | sell | 72.01 | $0.001 | $0.07 | May 27, 2026 |
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | sell | 136 | $0.176 | $23.95 | May 27, 2026 |
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.041 | $49.15 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 109.39 | $0.984 | $107.6 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.976 | $48.8 | May 27, 2026 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes | sell | 396 | $0.123 | $48.73 | May 27, 2026 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.031 | $9.25 | May 27, 2026 |
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 270 | $0.158 | $42.69 | May 27, 2026 |
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 645.16 | $0.182 | $117.28 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.932 | $186.4 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.978 | $195.6 | May 27, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 308.01 | $0.710 | $218.67 | May 27, 2026 |
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 250 | $0.961 | $240.3 | May 27, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No | sell | 265.42 | $0.992 | $263.3 | May 27, 2026 |
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 725.68 | $0.907 | $658.34 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.740 | $816.78 | May 27, 2026 |
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 1.14K | $0.864 | $984.06 | May 27, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.730 | $219 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?Yes | buy | 502.01 | $0.349 | $175 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 300 | $0.570 | $171 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.520 | $260 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?Yes | buy | 585.5 | $0.930 | $544.52 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.058 | $104.17 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?Yes | buy | 34.07 | $0.920 | $31.34 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.890 | $27.59 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 71.01 | $0.460 | $32.66 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 44 | $0.450 | $19.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 30 | $0.450 | $13.5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 24 | $0.320 | $7.68 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Mamdani attend the Rental Ripoff hearing on February 26?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.93 | $0.324 | $16.5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.560 | $448 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.750 | $7.7 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.231 | $31.44 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes | buy | 396 | $0.658 | $260.46 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.240 | $72 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 75.07 | $0.734 | $55.11 | Feb 11, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?Yes | buy | 202.73 | $0.470 | $95.35 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 69.57 | $0.989 | $68.8 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?No | buy | 650 | $0.738 | $479.91 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 200 | $0.340 | $68 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?No | buy | 979 | $0.168 | $164.36 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?No | buy | 435.22 | $0.273 | $118.86 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Feb 7, 2026 |