Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 327.46 | $0.841 | $260.17 | -$15.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.720 | $3.96 | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 103 |
| $0.530 |
| $84.98 |
| +$30.35 |
 Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 63.38 | $0.710 | $38.35 | -$6.65 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 33.21 | $0.430 | $23.25 | +$8.97 |
 Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 48.58 | $0.594 | $18.46 | -$10.42 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 14.47 | $0.815 | $13.31 | +$1.52 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat? | No | 14 | $0.950 | $13.23 | -$0.07 |
 Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 13.42 | $0.880 | $12.68 | +$0.87 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10.9 | +$0.9 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 11.03 | $0.907 | $10.64 | +$0.64 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.49 | +$0.49 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 11.88 | $0.750 | $10.28 | +$1.37 |
 Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 10 | $0.986 | $9.99 | +$0.13 |
 Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling? | No | 10.94 | $0.640 | $9.95 | +$2.95 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | No | 11.3 | $0.870 | $9.89 | +$0.06 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 12.52 | $0.790 | $9.86 | -$0.04 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.970 | $9.86 | +$0.16 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.900 | $9.72 | +$0.72 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 10.6 | $0.930 | $9.7 | -$0.16 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.974 | $9.7 | -$0.05 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 10.02 | $0.883 | $9.69 | +$0.84 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 9.59 | $0.820 | $9.5 | +$1.64 |
 Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 9.51 | $0.935 | $9.47 | +$0.58 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.840 | $9.4 | +$1 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 9.76 | $0.820 | $9.32 | +$1.32 |
| buy |
| 13.28 |
| $0.430 |
| $5.71 |
| 8d ago |
 Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.910 | $5.92 | 8d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.43 | $0.920 | $5.92 | 10d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 7.57 | $0.785 | $5.94 | 10d ago |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 36.54 | $0.052 | $1.9 | 15d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.967 | $4 | 16d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 7.66 | $0.653 | $5 | 16d ago |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 15.67 | $0.850 | $13.32 | 16d ago |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 15.4 | $0.940 | $14.48 | 17d ago |
 Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?No | sell | 15.13 | $0.973 | $14.72 | 17d ago |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 15.2 | $0.978 | $14.87 | 17d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 16.36 | $0.933 | $15.26 | 17d ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 17.74 | $0.965 | $17.12 | 17d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.920 | $19.99 | 17d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | 17d ago |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.963 | $96.29 | 17d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 650 | $0.109 | $70.85 | 17d ago |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.079 | $23.7 | 17d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 300 | $0.916 | $274.81 | 17d ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | sell | 42.22 | $0.940 | $39.69 | 17d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 599.99 | $0.960 | $575.99 | 17d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?No | buy | 4.33 | $0.914 | $3.96 | 19d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.57 | $0.900 | $5.91 | 19d ago |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.953 | $5.93 | 21d ago |
 Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.933 | $4.92 | 21d ago |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No | buy | 13.42 | $0.880 | $11.81 | 22d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 3.47 | $0.850 | $2.95 | 22d ago |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.884 | $4.92 | 23d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 4.96 | $0.799 | $3.96 | 23d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 6.6 | $0.750 | $4.95 | 24d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.760 | $3.91 | 24d ago |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.590 | $3.88 | 24d ago |
 Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.82 | $0.842 | $4.9 | 25d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 30.46 | $0.130 | $3.96 | 26d ago |
 Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.920 | $6.9 | 26d ago |
 Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.810 | $4.9 | 28d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 14.67 | $0.460 | $6.75 | 28d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.830 | $4.91 | 28d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.780 | $4.9 | 29d ago |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 33.21 | $0.430 | $14.28 | 29d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?No | buy | 11.19 | $0.880 | $9.85 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.830 | $5.89 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.640 | $3.89 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.750 | $2.94 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.838 | $4.91 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.78 | $0.870 | $5.9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.895 | $5.9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.7 | $0.880 | $5.9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No | buy | 11.3 | $0.870 | $9.83 | Aug 6, 2026 |