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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes | buy | 381.64 | $0.488 | $186.05 | May 6, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 34.88 |
| $0.860 |
| $30 |
| Oct 6, 2025 |
OpenAI social app in 2025?No | sell | 71.77 | $0.130 | $9.33 | Sep 30, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Sep 29, 2025 |
OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 28.21 | $0.380 | $10.72 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?No | sell | 53.55 | $0.387 | $20.72 | Sep 29, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.730 | $4.17 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?No | buy | 43.08 | $0.590 | $25.42 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?No | sell | 27.04 | $0.940 | $25.42 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?No | buy | 15.95 | $0.940 | $14.99 | Sep 25, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?No | buy | 40.06 | $0.700 | $28.04 | Sep 25, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | Sep 25, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 35.45 | $0.710 | $25.17 | Sep 24, 2025 |
UFC Fight Night: Lookboonmee vs. ThainaraLookboonmee | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
UFC Fight Night: Carolina vs. MontagueCarolina | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
UFC Fight Night: Pericic vs. EllisonEllison | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
UFC Fight Night: Crute vs. ErslanErslan | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. BellatoBellato | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
UFC Fight Night: Jenkins vs. TaverasTaveras | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. MagnyMagny | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?No | buy | 11.1 | $0.910 | $10.1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 34.01 | $0.740 | $25.17 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | buy | 26.16 | $0.962 | $25.17 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?No | buy | 53.55 | $0.470 | $25.17 | Sep 24, 2025 |
OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 43.57 | $0.578 | $25.17 | Sep 23, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 36.94 | $0.681 | $25.17 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.147 | $167.2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.060 | $0.75 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | sell | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.930 | $4.9 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.957 | $4.95 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5.29 | $0.958 | $5.07 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Trump out as President in 2025?No | sell | 7.68 | $0.940 | $7.22 | Sep 21, 2025 |
IDF Chief Eyal Zamir out by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.790 | $8.78 | Sep 21, 2025 |
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.920 | $9.68 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 10.4 | $0.950 | $9.88 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 10.4 | $0.953 | $9.91 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.930 | $9.89 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?No | sell | 10.3 | $0.965 | $9.94 | Sep 21, 2025 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.940 | $10.1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.976 | $10.16 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 10.75 | $0.979 | $10.52 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No | sell | 10.96 | $0.978 | $10.72 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.710 | $11.09 | Sep 21, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.940 | $12.2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 16.36 | $0.822 | $13.45 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 10.43 | $0.894 | $9.32 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.150 | $1.25 | Sep 18, 2025 |