Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 6.63K | $0.004 | $23.48 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 159.92 |
| $0.998 |
| $159.6 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.798 | $159.6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.996 | $1.62K | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 581.38 | $0.890 | $517.43 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 13?No | buy | 439.1 | $0.998 | $438.22 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?No | buy | 480.82 | $0.982 | $472.17 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.999 | $2K | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes | sell | 1.23K | $0.570 | $699.32 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.939 | $938.5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.934 | $169.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.939 | $938.5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.61K | $0.981 | $2.56K | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 410.82 | $0.999 | $410.41 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.9K | $0.988 | $2.87K | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 4.91K | $0.980 | $4.82K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 145 | $0.994 | $144.13 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.991 | $1.34K | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?No | sell | 3.41K | $0.985 | $3.36K | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?No | buy | 1.98K | $0.992 | $1.96K | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 2.35K | $0.998 | $2.35K | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?No | buy | 100 | $0.984 | $98.4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 2.28K | $0.970 | $2.21K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.28K | $0.998 | $2.27K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 512.83 | $0.991 | $508.21 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 276.99 | $0.972 | $269.23 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.947 | $94.7 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 7?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.999 | $1.1K | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 7?No | buy | 500 | $0.996 | $498 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 7?No | buy | 600 | $0.996 | $597.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?Yes | buy | 106.66 | $0.997 | $106.34 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 2.24K | $0.910 | $2.04K | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.910 | $1.03K | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.961 | $961 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | buy | 3.22K | $0.999 | $3.21K | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1K | $0.999 | $999 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 500 | $0.994 | $497 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.605 | $33.26 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes | buy | 8.28 | $0.390 | $3.23 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 3.13K | $0.970 | $3.04K | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Opensea launch a token by October 31?No | sell | 55 | $0.998 | $54.89 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 795.47 | $0.750 | $596.6 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.983 | $1.28K | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.983 | $1.18K | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?No | buy | 716.33 | $0.981 | $702.72 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 2.24K | $0.980 | $2.2K | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.920 | $2.02K | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 1.97K | $0.990 | $1.95K | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.890 | $48.95 | Sep 11, 2025 |