Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 13?No | buy | 7.91 | $0.998 | $7.89 | May 14, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.28 |
| $0.997 |
| $5.26 |
| May 13, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 6-12?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.992 | $3.22 | May 12, 2025 |
 Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?Yes | buy | 6.28 | $0.998 | $6.27 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No | buy | 3.21 | $0.998 | $3.2 | May 8, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.998 | $3.4 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May?No | buy | 2.65 | $0.998 | $2.64 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | buy | 3.97 | $0.992 | $3.94 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.999 | $3.57 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 FDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.998 | $6.21 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.999 | $3.33 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Syria before April?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.999 | $3.01 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Abdullah Öcalan be freed before April?No | buy | 6.77 | $0.998 | $6.76 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Boeing at fault for South Korea plane crash?No | buy | 4.22 | $0.999 | $4.22 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will egg prices drop this week?Yes | buy | 6.86 | $0.999 | $6.85 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.991 | $4.25 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday?No | buy | 7.2 | $0.994 | $7.16 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 5.98 | $0.998 | $5.97 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.996 | $6.87 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine take responsibility for X attack by Friday?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.999 | $6.01 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 3 | $0.998 | $2.99 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 New Epstein names released by Friday?No | buy | 4.75 | $0.998 | $4.74 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.992 | $1.25 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.998 | $1.65 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?No | buy | 3.31 | $0.998 | $3.3 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.998 | $1.54 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or below on March 5?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.999 | $3.96 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.990 | $3.41 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | sell | 603.62 | $0.993 | $599.39 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 603.62 | $0.994 | $600 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | sell | 724.34 | $0.993 | $719.27 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 724.35 | $0.994 | $720 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.31K | $0.993 | $1.3K | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.31K | $0.994 | $1.3K | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk visit Stargate Texas site before March?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.998 | $6.11 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 20?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.996 | $1.69 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 19?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.990 | $3.1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 18?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.982 | $3.11 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.982 | $2.2 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 17?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.999 | $5.61 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.985 | $1.17 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 16?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.999 | $2.61 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will the House pass a budget resolution by Friday?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.999 | $7.13 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by February 14?No | buy | 5.9 | $0.989 | $5.84 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.995 | $6.99 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 AfD banned before German election?No | buy | 9.63 | $0.996 | $9.59 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 11?Yes | buy | 9.56 | $0.999 | $9.55 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | buy | 29.54 | $0.999 | $29.51 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 104.78 | $0.980 | $102.65 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 23.23 | $0.990 | $23 | Dec 13, 2024 |