Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 150.55 | $0.199 | $10.16 | -$19.84 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.49 |
| $0.910 |
| $5.14 |
| +$0.14 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 16.36 | $0.327 | $2.45 | -$2.9 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.600 | $1.83 | -$3.17 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.110 | $1.43 | -$3.57 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $1.21 | -$3.79 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 14.71 | $0.340 | $1.1 | -$3.9 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.340 | $0.79 | -$1.21 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.250 | $0.68 | -$1.32 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.62 | $0.276 | $0.68 | -$0.32 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.9 | $0.420 | $0.54 | -$4.46 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.540 | $0.24 | -$1.76 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.29 | $0.774 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.990 |
| $1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.310 | $2.35 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.41 | $0.996 | $1.4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?Yes | sell | 1.99 | $0.490 | $0.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 11.73 | $0.084 | $0.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Ethereum flipped in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.540 | $1.02 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Terrorist" on Truth Social this week?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.901 | $1.02 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.54 | $0.540 | $1.91 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.780 | $1.49 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Jesus" in April?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.880 | $1.02 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 31?Yes | buy | 4.03 | $0.220 | $0.89 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.916 | $0.92 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.660 | $1.12 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Terrorist" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.973 | $1.08 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.920 | $1.04 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Jesus" in April?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 62.46 | $0.016 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 2.71 | $0.370 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Cyprus" during Greek Independence Day event?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 3.72 | $0.269 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Terrorist" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 11.73 | $0.085 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.62 | $0.276 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.774 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 SHEIN IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 4.6 | $0.963 | $4.43 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?Yes | buy | 1.99 | $0.498 | $0.99 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 5.62 | $0.975 | $5.48 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.870 | $1.57 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.013 | $0.16 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 12.65 | $0.015 | $0.19 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 8.4 | $0.052 | $0.44 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Europe" or "European Union" or "EU" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Intervene" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.901 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?Yes | buy | 105.34 | $0.009 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |