Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nationalize elections? | No | 29.49 | $0.780 | $27.28 | +$4.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11.63 |
| $0.860 |
| $11.26 |
| +$1.26 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 7.69 | $0.780 | $6.27 | +$0.27 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 6.67 | $0.750 | $6.03 | +$1.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 3.63 | $0.826 | $3.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2.79 | +$0.79 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 16.13 | $0.062 | $2.6 | +$1.6 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 4.71 | $0.636 | $2.35 | -$0.65 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 2.29 | $0.873 | $2.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
 Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 1.49 | $0.669 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? | Yes | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| sell |
| 1.14 |
| $0.971 |
| $1.11 |
| Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.973 | $1.04 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.985 | $1.56 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | sell | 3.76 | $0.980 | $3.68 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 4.25 | $0.690 | $2.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?No | sell | 3.28 | $0.870 | $2.85 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.900 | $1.55 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 9.69 | $0.940 | $9.11 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100K | $0.001 | $100 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 410K | $0.001 | $410 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 75K | $0.001 | $75 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.860 | $10.11 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.810 | $12.27 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | sell | 40.73 | $0.965 | $39.3 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No | sell | 26.23 | $0.910 | $23.87 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 25K | $0.001 | $25 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 15K | $0.001 | $15 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.984 | $5.23 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.988 | $1.03 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 2.34 | $0.988 | $2.31 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.995 | $1.01 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.996 | $1.04 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.86K | $0.003 | $10 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 138.43K | $0.003 | $450 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.13K | $0.006 | $46.15 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | sell | 11.45 | $0.997 | $11.42 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.960 | $1.02 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?No | sell | 2.28 | $0.985 | $2.25 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.830 | $1.09 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.55K | $0.007 | $210 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by June 30?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.987 | $10.27 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.981 | $1.07 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Canucks vs. AvalancheCanucks | sell | 1.92 | $0.350 | $0.67 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Canucks vs. AvalancheCanucks | sell | 1.92 | $0.340 | $0.65 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Canucks vs. AvalancheCanucks | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Canucks vs. AvalancheCanucks | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 9.66 | $0.197 | $1.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 622.78 | $0.003 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |