Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 16h ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.23 |
| $0.620 |
| $1.76 |
| -$0.24 |
| buy |
| 2.7 |
| $0.740 |
| $2 |
| 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in August?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 11d ago |
 Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.476 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 18d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.97 | $0.223 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $142.50 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.450 | $1.28 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 26d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?Down | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 2.23 | $0.470 | $1.05 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.350 | $1.05 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of July 27 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.640 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.390 | $1.19 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.86 | Jul 26, 2026 |