Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 255.57 | $0.070 | $17.89 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.56 |
| $0.360 |
| $2 |
| Mar 15, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 64.52 | $0.031 | $2 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 No change in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.21 | $0.039 | $2 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before April?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 33.96 | $0.048 | $1.63 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.42 | $0.330 | $1.79 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.027 | $2 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 UK election called before 2025?Yes | sell | 42.55 | $0.004 | $0.17 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.364 | $4.72 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.025 | $0.56 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.911 | $4.34 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 18.6 | $0.100 | $1.86 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will inflation increase by 2.7% in November?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.840 | $1.56 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 13.63 | $0.147 | $2 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Stirling vs. TokkosTokkos | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Kape vs. SilvaSilva | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$90k | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Fact check: Was Luigi Mangione a lone actor?No | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.154 | $2 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Hailey Welch jail in 2024?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.044 | $2 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Mitchell vs. GracieGracie | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Gane vs. VolkovVolkov | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.998 | $13.3 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 70-74?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.030 | $2 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.950 | $6.65 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| UK election called before 2025?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 24.12 | $0.950 | $22.91 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Nov 25, 2024 |