Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.68 | $0.545 | $25.44 | May 14, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 25.93 |
| $0.135 |
| $3.5 |
| May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 150.32 | $0.852 | $128.08 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 3.86 | $0.259 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.990 | $1.2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.991 | $1.3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 135.24 | $0.998 | $134.97 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 135.12 | $0.999 | $134.99 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 134.13 | $0.999 | $134 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 100.3 | $0.997 | $100 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.996 | $1.5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 132.13 | $0.999 | $132 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.953 | $1.7 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 130.52 | $0.996 | $130 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.988 | $130 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 9?No | buy | 240.08 | $0.008 | $1.88 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.987 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 130.65 | $0.995 | $130 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 133.04 | $0.999 | $132.91 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 132.91 | $0.998 | $132.64 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 132.64 | $0.991 | $131.45 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 131.45 | $0.999 | $131.32 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 131.32 | $0.991 | $130.14 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.5 | $0.140 | $2.17 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 131.98 | $0.985 | $130 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 125.7 | $0.999 | $125.57 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | buy | 125.25 | $0.998 | $125 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?No | buy | 125.13 | $0.999 | $125 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?Yes | buy | 4.5 | $0.600 | $2.7 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in January 2026?No | buy | 65.07 | $0.999 | $65 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in January 2026?No | buy | 60.06 | $0.999 | $60 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No | buy | 120.24 | $0.998 | $120 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 122.34 | $0.981 | $120 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.770 | $1.9 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.996 | $120 | Dec 15, 2025 |