Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 22.73 | $0.880 | $3.76 | -$16.24 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.890 | $2.02 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 86.96 |
| $0.720 |
| $62.61 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 17.22 | $0.933 | $16.07 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.870 | $1.98 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | sell | 0.93 | $0.033 | $0.03 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | sell | 45.52 | $0.033 | $1.52 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | sell | 12.34 | $0.034 | $0.42 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.39 | $0.890 | $35.95 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | buy | 58.8 | $0.017 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.959 | $7 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.972 | $7.2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No | buy | 7.2 | $0.985 | $7.09 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.28 | $0.830 | $16 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.3 | $0.966 | $27.34 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.900 | $25 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.09 | $0.910 | $11 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionYes | buy | 10.87 | $0.690 | $7.5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 17.22 | $0.900 | $15.5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.884 | $13 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.07 | $0.931 | $1.93 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?No | buy | 3.99 | $0.800 | $3.19 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?Yes | buy | 6.47 | $0.930 | $6.02 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.980 | $7.3 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 US strike on Syria by December 31?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 6.62 | $0.755 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 6.63 | $0.754 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 13.37 | $0.972 | $13 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.981 | $5.9 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 9.14 | $0.930 | $8.5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.960 | $10.1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 10.18 | $0.992 | $10.1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.971 | $5.5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 17.04 | $0.939 | $16 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.770 | $1.6 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 26.04 | $0.960 | $25 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 37 | $0.973 | $36 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 11.12 | $0.989 | $11 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 25.03 | $0.690 | $17.27 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by October 31?No | sell | 17.7 | $0.976 | $17.28 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 40.21 | $0.610 | $24.53 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | sell | 26.66 | $0.920 | $24.53 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by October 31?No | buy | 17.7 | $0.949 | $16.8 | Oct 19, 2025 |