Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 166.68 | $0.846 | $147.93 | +$6.91 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 109.03 | $0.340 | $37.07 | 27d ago |
 |
| No |
| 128.19 |
| $0.780 |
| $108.96 |
| +$8.97 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 74.78 | $0.822 | $62.18 | +$0.73 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 148.28 | $0.370 | $39.29 | -$15.57 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 24.9 | $0.840 | $21.04 | +$0.12 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 34.17 | $0.410 | $16.23 | +$2.22 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 13.83 | $0.410 | $11.06 | +$5.39 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 13.16 | $0.590 | $9.74 | +$1.97 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 14.57 | $0.540 | $7.65 | -$0.22 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 38.57 | $0.272 | $4.82 | -$5.68 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 0.71 | $0.490 | $0.57 | +$0.22 |
| sell |
| 327.08 |
| $0.233 |
| $76.21 |
| Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 233.28 | $0.280 | $65.32 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 24.9 | $0.840 | $20.92 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 37.86 | $0.880 | $33.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 58.16 | $0.830 | $48.27 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 69.01 | $0.376 | $25.98 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.38 | $0.385 | $2.07 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.56 | $0.435 | $6.33 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.97 | $0.441 | $15.86 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.43 | $0.442 | $7.26 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.54 | $0.429 | $8.39 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 88.3 | $0.810 | $71.52 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | sell | 18.7 | $0.982 | $18.36 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 10.26 | $0.380 | $3.9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | buy | 9.39 | $0.890 | $8.36 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 34.79 | $0.510 | $17.74 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 115.47 | $0.862 | $99.54 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.500 | $51 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 30.7 | $0.750 | $23.03 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 47.97 | $0.750 | $35.98 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 50.51 | $0.370 | $18.69 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 9.77 | $0.370 | $3.61 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 94.91 | $0.020 | $1.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.81 | $0.440 | $23.68 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 48.05 | $0.480 | $23.06 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 41.98 | $0.580 | $24.35 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 19.22 | $0.500 | $9.61 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 17.71 | $0.530 | $9.39 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 195 | $0.390 | $76.05 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?No | buy | 24.57 | $0.760 | $18.67 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?No | buy | 11.96 | $0.870 | $10.41 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 74.78 | $0.822 | $61.45 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 20.2 | $0.690 | $13.94 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 59.62 | $0.690 | $41.14 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 17.61 | $0.490 | $8.63 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | sell | 29.57 | $0.602 | $17.8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.11 | $0.430 | $19.4 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 61.15 | $0.900 | $55.04 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.78K | $0.001 | $5.78 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 257.89 | $0.043 | $11.09 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | buy | 11.08 | $0.950 | $10.53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.14 | $0.202 | $6.49 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.21 | $0.196 | $19.84 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 29.48 | $0.240 | $7.08 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.52 | $0.870 | $6.54 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.28 | $0.209 | $6.96 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |