Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.050 | $1.95 | -$3.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.02 |
| $0.830 |
| $1.69 |
| -$3.31 |
| buy |
| 6.25 |
| $0.160 |
| $1 |
| Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 4.36 | $0.570 | $2.49 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.059 | $2.35 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.030 | $0.23 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.4 | $0.020 | $0.31 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 9.13 | $0.986 | $9 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.033 | $3.3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.010 | $0.07 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.359 | $1.8 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Democrats 66 (D66) win 10% or more of votes in Netherlands election?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 8 | $0.154 | $1.23 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.034 | $1.02 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?No | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Putin" during his announcement on September 2?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Putin" during his announcement on September 2?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Stroke" during his announcement on September 2?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.540 | $1.02 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Emergency" during his announcement on September 2?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 43.13 | $0.046 | $2 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.850 | $5.95 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| 1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.150 | $9 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| 1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crimea" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.155 | $1.55 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Aug 10, 2025 |