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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethereum Up or Down on December 13?Down | buy | 1.77K | $0.117 | $206.79 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 338.65 |
| $0.402 |
| $136.03 |
| Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?No | sell | 50.59 | $0.657 | $33.25 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?No | sell | 148.18 | $0.584 | $86.49 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?No | sell | 74 | $0.210 | $15.54 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?No | buy | 206.85 | $0.469 | $97 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?No | buy | 198.77 | $0.503 | $100 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?No | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?No | buy | 218.27 | $0.463 | $101 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 9–16?Yes | buy | 78.42 | $0.038 | $2.98 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will EU increase sanctions on Russia before July?No | sell | 37.15 | $0.080 | $2.97 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 9–16?Yes | buy | 21.21 | $0.190 | $4.03 | May 16, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | May 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 36.36 | $0.100 | $3.64 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will EU increase sanctions on Russia before July?No | buy | 37.15 | $0.130 | $4.83 | May 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.110 | $4 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 9–16?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.190 | $7.6 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 9–16?Yes | sell | 61.29 | $0.020 | $1.23 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 9–16?Yes | buy | 10.39 | $0.128 | $1.33 | May 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 9–16?Yes | buy | 50.91 | $0.275 | $14 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 9–16?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.350 | $14 | May 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 9–16?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.999 | $4.76 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.200 | $4.76 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 9–16?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.998 | $5.1 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 9–16?Yes | sell | 53.15 | $0.190 | $10.1 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 9–16?Yes | buy | 53.16 | $0.190 | $10.1 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 9–16?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 9–16?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.003 | $1.2 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 9–16?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 9–16?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?Yes | sell | 113.94 | $0.016 | $1.82 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 9–16?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?Yes | buy | 113.94 | $0.018 | $2 | May 12, 2025 |