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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 86.66 | $0.150 | $54.16 | +$41.16 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.994 | $45.72 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.920 |
| $48.8 |
| +$2.8 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 22 | $0.956 | $21.57 | +$0.54 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $18.7 | +$1.7 |
 Tim Walz in jail by December 31? | No | 19 | $0.940 | $18.5 | +$0.64 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 18 | $0.840 | $14.63 | -$0.5 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13.59 | +$0.59 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 87.69 | $0.015 | $5.04 | +$3.73 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 31.28 | $0.160 | $1.72 | -$3.28 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 83 | $0.014 | $0.21 | -$0.95 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.330 | $0.06 | -$3.25 |
| buy |
| 22 |
| $0.985 |
| $21.67 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.991 | $93.15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 112.02 | $0.860 | $96.34 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 34.65 | $0.991 | $34.34 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.981 | $27.47 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?Yes | buy | 38.23 | $0.042 | $1.61 | May 29, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 13 | $0.986 | $12.82 | May 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 48 | $0.995 | $47.76 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 86.66 | $0.150 | $13 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.995 | $32.84 | May 29, 2026 |
 Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.986 | $1.24 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.001 | $1.25 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 765.48 | $0.044 | $33.68 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.030 | $0.21 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.992 | $28.77 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.996 | $29.88 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 47 | $0.910 | $42.77 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 230.65 | $0.009 | $2.09 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 936.56 | $0.002 | $1.87 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 10.92 | $0.820 | $8.95 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes | buy | 19.11 | $0.986 | $18.85 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 44 | $0.974 | $42.86 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.745 | $3.73 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 24.02 | $0.830 | $19.94 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 25.09 | $0.430 | $10.79 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.989 | $24.73 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 87.69 | $0.015 | $1.32 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump attend UFC 326?No | buy | 18.99 | $0.999 | $18.97 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)Raul Rosas Jr. | buy | 13.17 | $0.730 | $9.61 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.995 | $31.84 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.977 | $33.22 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 42 | $0.994 | $41.75 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 35 | $0.989 | $34.62 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.840 | $17.64 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 88 | $0.830 | $73.04 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.28 | $0.160 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?Yes | buy | 28.9 | $0.937 | $27.08 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 376.2 | $0.003 | $1.13 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.014 | $1.16 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 22 | $0.956 | $21.03 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 29.23 | $0.244 | $7.13 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 X banned in U.K. by March 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.958 | $15.33 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?No | buy | 15.5 | $0.830 | $12.87 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.987 | $13.82 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 15.51 | $0.967 | $15 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Tim Walz in jail by December 31?No | buy | 19 | $0.940 | $17.86 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 999 | $0.194 | $193.81 | Jan 7, 2026 |