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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.986 | $1.52 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?Yes| buy |
| 1.2 |
| $0.950 |
| $1.14 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.970 | $1.27 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.996 | $2.36 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.920 | $1.12 | May 21, 2026 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.957 | $2.29 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 4.53 | $0.947 | $4.29 | May 21, 2026 |
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.989 | $1.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.996 | $1.2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 4.28 | $0.981 | $4.2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.820 | $1.3 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 2.75 | $0.873 | $2.4 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.999 | $10.38 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.977 | $1.2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.940 | $3.1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.998 | $5.1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.969 | $1.8 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.990 | $1.7 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.940 | $1.54 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.948 | $1.4 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.980 | $1.5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.860 | $1.33 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 17?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.999 | $1.49 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.980 | $2.95 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No | buy | 245.43 | $0.930 | $228.25 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No | buy | 4.86K | $0.940 | $4.57K | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No | buy | 2.99K | $0.920 | $2.75K | Sep 20, 2025 |
Ethereum above $4800 on September 1?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.994 | $1.3 | Aug 30, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4800 on September 1?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Aug 30, 2025 |