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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 2 |
| $0.998 |
| $2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsGen.G | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Mistral have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 23 above $30?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Google reach $420 in March?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the March meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 974.89 | $0.999 | $973.92 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 46.92K | $0.012 | $563.08 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 46.92K | $0.013 | $610 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No | buy | 960.96 | $0.999 | $960 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 79K | $0.003 | $237 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 79K | $0.004 | $316 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.996 | $1.08K | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Sora be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.999 | $1.07K | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in November?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.999 | $1.07K | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.763 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.997 | $1.5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.999 | $1.07K | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on November 21?Yes | buy | 566.65 | $0.999 | $566.08 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 500.5 | $0.999 | $500 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.999 | $1.07K | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 50.24 | $0.999 | $50.19 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.998 | $1K | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.324 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.227 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 2?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.998 | $1.5 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.999 | $1.03K | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.956 | $6 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 11.96 | $0.920 | $11 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Oct 31, 2025 |