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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2.57 | +$0.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 2.78 |
| $0.720 |
| $2.51 |
| +$0.51 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.92 | +$0.34 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? | No | 7.41 | $0.270 | $1.85 | -$0.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | No | 2.56 | $0.780 | $1.71 | -$0.29 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | No | 2.5 | $0.800 | $1.39 | -$0.61 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 5 | $0.400 | $1.13 | -$0.88 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 3.92 | $0.510 | $0.88 | -$1.12 |
| buy |
| 2.5 |
| $0.800 |
| $2 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 2d ago |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 5d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 5d ago |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.28 | $0.530 | $1.21 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 19d ago |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 25d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 29d ago |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?Down | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.650 | $1.98 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.86 | Jul 29, 2026 |