Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed abolished before 2027? | No | 103.05 | $0.972 | $101.09 | +$0.95 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 370.01 | $0.992 | $367.05 | May 31, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 58.89 |
| $0.993 |
| $58.74 |
| +$0.26 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | $0 |
 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 22.18 | $0.992 | $22.15 | +$0.14 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 22 | $0.991 | $21.95 | +$0.14 |
| buy |
| 182.18 |
| $0.965 |
| $175.8 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 94 | $0.460 | $43.24 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 457 | $0.550 | $251.35 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.550 | $47.3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 473 | $0.550 | $260.15 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 20K | $0.240 | $4.8K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 210 | $0.250 | $52.5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.250 | $350.23 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 400 | $0.380 | $152 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 1.33K | $0.380 | $505.38 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 22 | $0.991 | $21.8 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Anthropic acquired in 2025?No | buy | 150 | $0.998 | $149.7 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 15.66K | $0.001 | $15.66 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 13.55 | $0.999 | $13.54 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 13 | $0.998 | $12.97 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 22.18 | $0.992 | $22 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 53.96 | $0.993 | $53.58 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 29.58 | $0.992 | $29.34 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 24.75 | $0.992 | $24.55 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 58.89 | $0.993 | $58.48 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?No | buy | 11.89 | $0.998 | $11.87 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.999 | $15.98 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | buy | 730.75 | $0.988 | $721.98 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 138.15 | $0.997 | $137.74 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETUp | buy | 93.74 | $0.980 | $91.87 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No | buy | 111.46 | $0.991 | $110.46 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in April?No | buy | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 60 | $0.999 | $59.94 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Jim Chalmers be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 60 | $0.999 | $59.94 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 52 | $0.860 | $44.72 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 60 | $0.999 | $59.94 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in April?No | buy | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will "The Substance" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.004 | $8.18 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Bournemouth wins the Premier League?No | sell | 130.24 | $0.998 | $129.98 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Bournemouth wins the Premier League?No | buy | 130.24 | $0.999 | $130.11 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.992 | $59.52 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 54.17 | $0.956 | $51.79 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.920 | $55.2 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?No | buy | 16 | $0.998 | $15.97 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | buy | 69.06 | $0.991 | $68.44 | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.004 | $0.8 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 55.8 | $0.940 | $52.45 | Oct 21, 2024 |