Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 33.64 | $0.640 | $31.62 | +$10.09 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.999 | $1.53 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 4.65 |
| $0.957 |
| $4.52 |
| +$0.07 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 2.34 | $0.860 | $1.99 | -$0.02 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat? | No | 50 | $0.080 | $1.3 | -$2.7 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | 0.95 | $0.390 | $0.9 | +$0.53 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 0.82 | $0.615 | $0.75 | +$0.25 |
 Celonis IPO before 2027? | Yes | 3.6 | $0.250 | $0.18 | -$0.72 |
 New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.160 | $0.08 | -$0.09 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.1 | $0.140 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 27.78 |
| $0.491 |
| $13.63 |
| Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.87 | $0.450 | $22 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.030 | $1.32 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | sell | 2.89 | $0.850 | $2.46 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?No | sell | 2.31 | $0.929 | $2.15 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 75.2 | $0.830 | $62.42 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.71 | $0.530 | $1.97 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?No | sell | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.75 | $0.150 | $3.71 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.600 | $1.04 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 215.58 | $0.370 | $79.76 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 61.81 | $0.071 | $4.38 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 63.06 | $0.080 | $5.04 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.304 | $3.04 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | sell | 2.75 | $0.976 | $2.68 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.860 | $25.8 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | sell | 178.87 | $0.060 | $10.73 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | sell | 11.79 | $0.880 | $10.38 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.128 | $12.8 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | sell | 70.79 | $0.820 | $58.05 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | sell | 65.19 | $0.861 | $56.14 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | sell | 3.48 | $0.860 | $2.99 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.182 | $18.2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | sell | 30 | $0.872 | $26.16 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.121 | $12.1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 60.11 | $0.141 | $8.48 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | sell | 26.33 | $0.840 | $22.12 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | sell | 36.77 | $0.850 | $31.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | sell | 63.23 | $0.850 | $53.75 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.840 | $18.66 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | sell | 113.39 | $0.851 | $96.44 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 195 | $0.580 | $113.1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.31 | $0.033 | $1.73 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | sell | 93.75 | $0.831 | $77.91 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.840 | $5.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | sell | 104.07 | $0.840 | $87.42 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | buy | 89 | $0.870 | $77.43 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No | buy | 14.4 | $0.890 | $12.82 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No | sell | 54.68 | $0.840 | $45.93 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.360 | $6.48 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyNo | sell | 16.24 | $0.200 | $3.25 | Feb 5, 2026 |