Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 13-19?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.960 | $6.81 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.82 |
| $0.948 |
| $6.47 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 16.22 | $0.400 | $6.49 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 16.22 | $0.450 | $7.3 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.991 | $7.25 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | sell | 7.36 | $0.984 | $7.24 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 7.36 | $0.979 | $7.21 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before October?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.984 | $7.1 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.38 | $0.846 | $7.09 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?No | sell | 415.85 | $0.996 | $414.19 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 415.86 | $0.997 | $414.61 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on July 25?No | sell | 14.87 | $0.090 | $1.34 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on July 25?No | buy | 14.88 | $0.685 | $10.19 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?No | buy | 10.48 | $0.949 | $9.95 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Joao Almeida win the Tour de France 2025?No | buy | 6.68 | $0.985 | $6.58 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Remco Evenepoel win the Tour de France 2025?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.980 | $6.9 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2025 French Open?No | buy | 6.57 | $0.950 | $6.24 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?No | buy | 6.78 | $0.935 | $6.34 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo win between 25% and 30% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 6.44 | $0.954 | $6.14 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.958 | $5.98 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?No | buy | 6.37 | $0.950 | $6.05 | May 22, 2025 |
 China-Vietnam trade deal before June?No | sell | 6.34 | $0.143 | $0.91 | May 21, 2025 |
 All New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.940 | $5.34 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 5.65 | $0.953 | $5.38 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?No | buy | 5.61 | $0.920 | $5.16 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.962 | $9.9 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will the Baglihar Dam be hit in May?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.979 | $5.26 | May 19, 2025 |
| China-Vietnam trade deal before June?No | buy | 6.35 | $0.972 | $6.17 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Yes | sell | 10.37 | $0.990 | $10.27 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes | buy | 7.05 | $0.974 | $6.87 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?No | buy | 9.35 | $0.944 | $8.83 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.38 | $0.957 | $9.93 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | sell | 5.42 | $0.992 | $5.38 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.976 | $6 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by 12–18%?No | buy | 6.39 | $0.972 | $6.21 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.979 | $5.97 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will George Russell win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.955 | $5.97 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.999 | $5.26 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | sell | 6.68 | $0.999 | $6.67 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.951 | $5.16 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.979 | $5.16 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 7.9 | $0.949 | $7.5 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | sell | 7.53 | $0.996 | $7.5 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 6.68 | $0.979 | $6.54 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 10.38 | $0.979 | $10.16 | May 16, 2025 |
 Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.940 | $9.75 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Netherlands qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.941 | $9.32 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 9.33 | $0.977 | $9.12 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | buy | 7.54 | $0.974 | $7.34 | May 4, 2025 |