Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2027? | No | 119 | $0.678 | $81.52 | +$0.8 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 80 | $0.449 | $35.94 | 7d ago |
|
| buy |
| 85 |
| $0.880 |
| $74.8 |
| 7d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?No | buy | 99 | $0.680 | $67.32 | 10d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | 11d ago |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.029 | $8.99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.029 | $9.86 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.188 | $18.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 789.47 | $0.019 | $15 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 41.24 | $0.970 | $40 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Egypt reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 41.28 | $0.969 | $40 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.650 | $15 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.200 | $8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.170 | $15.3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 25.8 | $0.830 | $21.41 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 33.78 | $0.740 | $25 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.141 | $50.76 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.44 | $0.670 | $4.98 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 104.16 | $0.180 | $18.75 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 29.59 | $0.676 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 87.58 | $0.220 | $19.27 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 211.86 | $0.118 | $25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 211.86 | $0.118 | $25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30.38 | $0.658 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 87.59 | $0.285 | $25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.240 | $25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25.8 | $0.775 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 15.66 | $0.090 | $1.41 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.091 | $1.82 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.044 | $1.28 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 66.56 | $0.088 | $5.87 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 61.14 | $0.138 | $8.46 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.041 | $4.1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 97.22 | $0.063 | $6.1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.055 | $5.5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 109.19 | $0.012 | $1.3 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.250 | $22.5 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.340 | $30.6 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.890 | $35.6 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.040 | $5.2 | Sep 17, 2025 |