Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 6.35 | $0.701 | $3.91 | -$0.54 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.430 |
| $1.63 |
| -$0.53 |
 Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | $0 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? | No | 1.04 | $0.959 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.05 | $0.953 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.07 | $0.938 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.23 | $0.810 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 2.35 | $0.430 | $0.81 | -$0.2 |
 Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 1.78 | $0.690 | $0.78 | -$0.45 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 0.32 | $0.565 | $0.3 | +$0.12 |
 Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.4 | $0.251 | $0.15 | -$0.2 |
| sell |
| 15 |
| $0.070 |
| $1.05 |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
 Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?No | sell | 2.15 | $0.911 | $1.96 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 3.62 | $0.590 | $2.14 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.998 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.987 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.985 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.998 | $1.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.955 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.936 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.997 | $1.12 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.944 | $1.07 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.900 | $1.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.975 | $1.11 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.850 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.780 | $1.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.830 | $1.12 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.730 | $1.07 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.740 | $1.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.840 | $2.59 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?SpaceX | sell | 3.44 | $0.999 | $3.44 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.810 | $2.94 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 3.69 | $0.999 | $3.69 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 3.8 | $0.986 | $3.75 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 4.64 | $0.730 | $3.39 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.918 | $4.59 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US bank failure by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.991 | $4.96 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.762 | $3.81 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.350 | $2.19 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.28 | $0.998 | $6.27 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.963 | $6.17 | Jun 30, 2026 |