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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.52 | $0.957 | $0.51 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.520 | $15.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 29 |
| $0.953 |
| $27.64 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.045 | $1.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 30 | $0.952 | $28.56 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.939 | $28.17 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.500 | $5.5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 52.48 | $0.490 | $25.72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.968 | $30.01 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.936 | $6.55 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.935 | $29.92 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 55.37 | $0.490 | $27.13 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 35 | $0.983 | $34.41 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.983 | $34.41 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 43 | $0.550 | $23.65 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 63 | $0.550 | $34.65 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.610 | $1.83 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.660 | $29.04 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.710 | $31.24 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.975 | $31.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.680 | $17.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.680 | $19.72 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 37 | $0.250 | $9.25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.250 | $9.25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.015 | $0.71 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.120 | $4.68 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.947 | $31.25 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 25 | $0.955 | $23.88 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 36 | $0.957 | $34.45 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.280 | $4.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.450 | $19.8 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.041 | $1.35 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.490 | $18.62 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.042 | $3.23 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1 | $0.900 | $0.9 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.986 | $0.99 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.931 | $32.59 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.930 | $26.97 | May 15, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.022 | $0.31 | May 14, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.021 | $1.55 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 22 | $0.985 | $21.67 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 35 | $0.959 | $33.57 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 34 | $0.975 | $33.15 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.964 | $37.6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.923 | $37.84 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.923 | $37.84 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.041 | $0.04 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | sell | 35 | $0.973 | $34.06 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.956 | $34.42 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.240 | $18.48 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 35 | $0.969 | $33.92 | Apr 22, 2026 |