Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x China Military clash before 2027?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.920 | $1.4 | Jan 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.53 |
| $0.930 |
| $1.42 |
| Jan 17, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.993 | $2.11 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.995 | $2.11 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.67 | $0.850 | $1.42 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.820 | $1.37 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.870 | $1.15 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.880 | $1.17 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.810 | $0.98 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.981 | $1.2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in December?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.966 | $1.21 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.990 | $1.21 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in December?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.980 | $1.23 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 0–5%?Yes | sell | 2.83 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No | sell | 2.69 | $0.950 | $2.56 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 0–5%?Yes | buy | 2.83 | $0.420 | $1.19 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.998 | $1.27 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.880 | $1.21 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.990 | $1.21 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.971 | $1.26 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.670 | $1.42 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.970 | $1.3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.98 | $0.994 | $1.97 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.890 | $1.23 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China by October 31?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.985 | $1.38 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit China by October 31?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.970 | $1.36 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.780 | $1.22 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will the blue bloc win less than 72 seats in the Norwegian election?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.977 | $1.06 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will valid votes be more than 6.2 million in Bolivia election?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.910 | $1.45 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.860 | $2.32 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.850 | $1.33 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | sell | 2.68 | $0.630 | $1.69 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.972 | $1.19 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.984 | $1.09 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.860 | $1.12 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.980 | $1.09 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | buy | 2.69 | $0.510 | $1.37 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.991 | $0.14 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 0.79 | $0.982 | $0.78 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.825 | $1.06 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Thursday?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Connor McDavid score a goal in Game 4?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.600 | $1.06 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.987 | $1.17 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.483 | $1.22 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 6?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.900 | $1.04 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.998 | $1.23 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 0.36 | $0.490 | $0.18 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.540 | $0.79 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 3.46 | $0.770 | $2.66 | Apr 11, 2025 |