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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 463.05 | $0.239 | $34.73 | -$76.07 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 86 |
| $0.047 |
| $4.86 |
| +$0.82 |
 Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 72 | $0.014 | $0.11 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 60 |
| $0.050 |
| $3 |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?No | buy | 33.43 | $0.060 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.020 | $0.52 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.021 | $1.03 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.025 | $3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.110 | $6.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.130 | $7.8 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.068 | $2.04 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?No | sell | 21.5 | $0.966 | $20.77 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.600 | $5.99 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.390 | $4 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.670 | $4.02 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.350 | $5.6 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.490 | $2.94 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.050 | $0.54 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.620 | $3.72 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.630 | $3.78 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.320 | $5.12 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.3 | $0.300 | $9.69 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.670 | $9.38 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.02 | $0.549 | $61 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 364.44 | $0.450 | $164 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?Yes | buy | 364.38 | $0.549 | $200 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 425.53 | $0.470 | $200 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?Yes | buy | 365.31 | $0.547 | $200 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.69 | $0.542 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 13.95 | $0.430 | $6 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 24.52 | $0.370 | $9.07 | Nov 18, 2025 |