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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.975 | $1.05 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.19 |
| $0.840 |
| $1 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will "The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will The Studio win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.952 | $1.07 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the January Meeting?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.991 | $1.07 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Hades II win Best Game on Steam Deck at the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.967 | $1.13 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.876 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the January Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.929 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.992 | $1.19 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.994 | $1.12 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.985 | $1.42 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | sell | 2.46 | $0.910 | $2.24 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.981 | $1.05 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.861 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.830 | $1.2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.910 | $1.1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.930 | $1.05 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will no listed leader be out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.956 | $1.01 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.941 | $1.01 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 "The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 45 and 59?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.982 | $1.01 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.899 | $1.01 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.821 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.974 | $1.05 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.979 | $1.01 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.981 | $1.02 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Hades II win Best Game on Steam Deck at the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.890 | $1.05 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.920 | $1.03 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.976 | $1.03 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.900 | $1.02 | Dec 19, 2025 |