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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.732 | $8.78 | Jul 12, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 2.5 |
| $0.530 |
| $1.33 |
| Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.54 | $0.170 | $0.6 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.178 | $0.53 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.043 | $0.39 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.030 | $0.06 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?Yes | sell | 2.73 | $0.490 | $1.34 | Jul 9, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.5 | $0.190 | $1.81 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 8.58 | $0.215 | $1.84 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 148.61 | $0.038 | $5.65 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.420 | $1.2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 40 | $0.992 | $39.68 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.27 | $0.047 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.026 | $1.05 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.530 | $0.53 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?Yes | sell | 3.72 | $0.530 | $1.97 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.650 | $1.3 | Jul 4, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.220 | $1.98 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Trump say “Farmer” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?Yes | sell | 2.51 | $0.920 | $2.31 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 7.8 | $0.310 | $2.42 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 4.52 | $0.900 | $4.07 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.870 | $0.07 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 28.11 | $0.010 | $0.28 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?No | sell | 17.03 | $0.996 | $16.96 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | sell | 562.5 | $0.001 | $0.56 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.120 | $0.31 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 132.56 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.012 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.102 | $0.31 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.260 | $0.52 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.165 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?No | sell | 2 | $0.720 | $1.44 | Jul 1, 2025 |