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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 107.14 | $0.140 | $4.23 | -$10.77 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.32K | $0.048 | $207.3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 875 |
| $0.240 |
| $210 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.100 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 101.86 | $0.798 | $81.28 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 176.93 | $0.430 | $76.08 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.143 | $44.83 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.130 | $43.33 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 116.67 | $0.240 | $28 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.017 | $28.4 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 96.36 | $0.055 | $5.3 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 172.22 | $0.180 | $31 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.220 | $15 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 973.21 | $0.015 | $15 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?Yes | buy | 386.75 | $0.078 | $30 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 183.33 | $0.300 | $55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.150 | $50 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.018 | $30 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 65.99 | $0.091 | $6 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 73.33 | $0.150 | $11 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?No | buy | 198.78 | $0.055 | $11 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?No | buy | 123.53 | $0.170 | $21 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?No | buy | 1.95K | $0.033 | $65 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.88 | $0.132 | $5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 101.86 | $0.720 | $73.34 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 201.56 | $0.496 | $100 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | buy | 124.16 | $0.805 | $100 | Nov 7, 2025 |