Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 18.73 | $0.370 | $6.93 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 4.16 |
| $0.180 |
| $0.75 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.690 | $1.08 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.660 | $1.57 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.999 | $1.07 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.040 | $0.29 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 707.43 | $0.070 | $49.52 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?Yes | sell | 5.53 | $0.999 | $5.52 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-04?Yes | sell | 6.26 | $0.999 | $6.25 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?Yes | buy | 5.53 | $0.958 | $5.3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-04?Yes | buy | 6.27 | $0.940 | $5.89 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12PM ETDown | sell | 6.27 | $0.999 | $6.26 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.56 | $0.940 | $5.22 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12PM ETDown | buy | 6.28 | $0.930 | $5.84 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 4?Yes | sell | 5.33 | $0.999 | $5.32 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.1 | $0.990 | $6.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 4?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.980 | $5.23 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.950 | $5.8 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Nuggets vs. PistonsPistons | sell | 5.52 | $0.999 | $5.51 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Jazz vs. PacersJazz | sell | 6.13 | $0.999 | $6.12 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. PistonsPistons | buy | 5.52 | $0.940 | $5.19 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Jazz vs. PacersJazz | buy | 6.14 | $0.940 | $5.77 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 12.57 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.980 | $1.02 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.920 | $0.98 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.970 | $1.05 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.961 | $1.05 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.994 | $1.08 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.880 | $0.98 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.890 | $0.99 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.930 | $1.04 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.961 | $1.1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.870 | $1.01 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.821 | $0.98 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Jesse Minter be the next Las Vegas Raiders Head Coach?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.002 | $0 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-31?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.680 | $0.97 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.500 | $0.68 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.958 | $1.38 | Jan 30, 2026 |