Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 71.45 | $0.420 | $26.79 | -$3.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Yes | buy | 71.45 | $0.420 | $30 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 62.5 |
| $0.400 |
| $15.31 |
| -$9.69 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 96.95 | $0.351 | $15.03 | -$18.97 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.080 | $12.09 | +$7.09 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 66.7 | $0.075 | $10.77 | +$5.77 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 187.5 | $0.160 | $10.31 | -$19.69 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 125 | $0.120 | $7.38 | -$7.63 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | Yes | 97.52 | $0.051 | $6.24 | +$1.24 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.050 | $5.6 | -$4.4 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 25.33 | $0.395 | $5.19 | -$4.81 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 117.65 | $0.170 | $3.94 | -$16.06 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 104.17 | $0.048 | $3.7 | -$1.3 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 19.29 | $0.259 | $2.84 | -$2.16 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes | 84.4 | $0.059 | $1.31 | -$3.69 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Yes | 64.1 | $0.078 | $1.15 | -$3.85 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 153.85 | $0.013 | $0.38 | -$1.62 |
| buy |
| 97.52 |
| $0.051 |
| $5 |
| 2d ago |
 Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Yes | buy | 34.69 | $0.490 | $17 | 9d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | buy | 100.34 | $0.100 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.300 | $24 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.078 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.065 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 158.41 | $0.032 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.310 | $30 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.280 | $23.33 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 398.21 | $0.126 | $50 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 132.83 | $0.035 | $4.61 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?Yes | buy | 142.56 | $0.035 | $5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?Yes | buy | 47.91 | $0.104 | $5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 358.21 | $0.028 | $10 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.07 | $0.024 | $1.84 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 75.1 | $0.025 | $1.84 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.16 | $0.020 | $1.84 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.19 | $0.018 | $0.92 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 72.02 | $0.013 | $0.92 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 173.18 | $0.029 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 30.53 | $0.164 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 720.39 | $0.069 | $50 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 580.51 | $0.022 | $12.77 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?Yes | buy | 82.24 | $0.182 | $15 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?Yes | buy | 57.72 | $0.087 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?Yes | buy | 52.69 | $0.190 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.29 | $0.259 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 173.99 | $0.029 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 105.69 | $0.028 | $3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes | buy | 227.83 | $0.044 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?Yes | buy | 244.92 | $0.018 | $4.51 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 58.3 | $0.140 | $8.16 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 84.03 | $0.060 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?Yes | buy | 89.03 | $0.160 | $14.24 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 60m?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.150 | $9.15 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?Yes | buy | 433.26 | $0.138 | $60 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.02 | $0.023 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |