Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | No | 120 | $0.740 | $103.2 | +$14.4 |
![]() |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | 2d ago |
![]() |
| Yes |
| 104.84 |
| $0.617 |
| $89.64 |
| +$24.9 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.852 | $87.5 | +$2.3 |
Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | No | 85 | $0.910 | $84.96 | +$7.56 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 81 | $0.690 | $59.13 | +$3.24 |
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | No | 42 | $0.960 | $41.12 | +$0.8 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.720 | $36.6 | +$7.8 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 40 | $0.860 | $36.12 | +$1.72 |
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 40 | $0.880 | $34.4 | -$0.8 |
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.910 | $28.7 | +$1.4 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 30 | $0.690 | $22.05 | +$1.35 |
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.940 | $19.68 | +$0.89 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.99 | $0.940 | $19.58 | +$0.79 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 255.58 | $0.294 | $19.17 | -$55.92 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 20 | $0.892 | $19.13 | +$1.29 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | No | 20 | $0.941 | $18.94 | +$0.12 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.935 | $18.72 | +$0.02 |
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.910 | $17.9 | -$0.3 |
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.900 | $17.44 | -$0.56 |
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | No | 16 | $0.936 | $15.58 | +$0.61 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.870 | $14.7 | -$2.7 |
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 16.43 | $0.880 | $14.38 | -$0.08 |
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | $0 |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.690 | $12.9 | -$0.9 |
Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | No | 12.05 | $0.955 | $11.98 | +$0.47 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.680 |
| $13.6 |
| 2d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 2d ago |
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.986 | $19.72 | 3d ago |
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.982 | $4.91 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.320 | $22.37 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 21.58 | $0.278 | $6 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.303 | $12.12 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 124 | $0.279 | $34.6 | 3d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.380 | $15.2 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.115 | $2.3 | 3d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.850 | $68 | 3d ago |
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.740 | $36.26 | 3d ago |
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.740 | $88.8 | 3d ago |
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.987 | $6 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.690 | $55.89 | 3d ago |
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.968 | $9.68 | 5d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.650 | $39 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 6d ago |
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.960 | $40.32 | 6d ago |
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.969 | $19.38 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.223 | $8.92 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.222 | $13.29 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.640 | $38.4 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | 6d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 6d ago |
Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.855 | $34.2 | 6d ago |
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.84 | $0.510 | $28.48 | 6d ago |
Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.960 | $43.2 | 7d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.959 | $28.77 | 7d ago |
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.012 | $0.47 | 7d ago |
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.964 | $33.73 | 7d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.24 | $0.973 | $7.04 | 7d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.964 | $19.28 | 8d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | 11d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.43 | $0.880 | $14.46 | 11d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | 11d ago |
Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 11d ago |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 11d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | 12d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.870 | $65.25 | 12d ago |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 12d ago |
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.888 | $17.76 | 12d ago |
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 6.4 | $0.887 | $5.68 | 12d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.977 | $19.54 | 12d ago |
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.987 | $9.87 | 12d ago |
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.963 | $19.26 | 12d ago |
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | 12d ago |