Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.06 |
| $0.989 |
| $5 |
| May 20, 2026 |
 Will Putin visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.988 | $4.95 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Marciele Albuquerque win Big Brother Brasil 26?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.997 | $4 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Player 58 win Beast Games: Season 2?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released on February 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.881 | $4.45 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the February decision?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 6.06 | $0.986 | $5.98 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.993 | $5.96 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be between 30 and 40?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?Yes | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |