Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.01K | $0.332 | $1.14K | +$141.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 310.85 | $0.643 | $200 | 23d ago |
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| Yes |
| 521.86 |
| $0.613 |
| $442.54 |
| +$122.54 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 421.67 | $0.711 | $377.39 | +$77.39 |
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 370.12 | $0.810 | $334.96 | +$34.96 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 312.5 | $0.640 | $282.81 | +$82.81 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 310.85 | $0.643 | $275.1 | +$75.1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 322.74 | $0.620 | $274.33 | +$74.33 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 303.03 | $0.660 | $262.12 | +$62.12 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 273.97 | $0.730 | $234.25 | +$34.25 |
| buy |
| 3.01K |
| $0.332 |
| $1K |
| 23d ago |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | 23d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 322.74 | $0.620 | $200 | 23d ago |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 946.68 | $0.024 | $22.67 | 23d ago |
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 370.12 | $0.811 | $300 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.850 | $200 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 782.61 | $0.230 | $180 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 267.85 | $0.550 | $147.32 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 267.86 | $0.560 | $150 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 358.33 | $0.240 | $86 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 194.62 | $0.514 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 303.03 | $0.660 | $200 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.720 | $200 | Jun 19, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 318.18 | $0.219 | $69.83 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 220.77 | $0.473 | $104.52 | Jun 12, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 526.31 | $0.501 | $263.67 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.125 | $145.43 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 220.78 | $0.770 | $170 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No | buy | 277.92 | $0.720 | $200 | Jun 11, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 318.18 | $0.660 | $210 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?No | buy | 284.38 | $0.703 | $200 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 280.78 | $0.712 | $200 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.214 | $250 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No | buy | 377.99 | $0.794 | $300 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 303.03 | $0.660 | $200 | Jun 7, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.760 | $400 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?No | buy | 255.65 | $0.782 | $200 | Jun 5, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 256.41 | $0.780 | $200 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 421.67 | $0.711 | $300 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 25.84 | $0.080 | $2.07 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 379.75 | $0.790 | $300 | May 30, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 370.37 | $0.540 | $200 | May 30, 2026 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No | buy | 103.45 | $0.580 | $60 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.240 | $100 | May 30, 2026 |
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 227.08 | $0.881 | $200 | May 29, 2026 |
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 338.54 | $0.886 | $300 | May 29, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No | sell | 1.41K | $0.826 | $1.17K | May 28, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | sell | 1.64K | $0.320 | $525.29 | May 28, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 406.9 | $0.590 | $240 | May 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 250 | $0.995 | $248.75 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.85 | $0.767 | $19.83 | May 28, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 10.97 | $0.943 | $10.34 | May 28, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 256.55 | $0.468 | $120 | May 27, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.709 | $1K | May 27, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 375.76 | $0.373 | $140 | May 26, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 131.57 | $0.980 | $128.94 | May 26, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 600 | $0.400 | $240 | May 26, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.640 | $200 | May 20, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 273.97 | $0.730 | $200 | May 20, 2026 |