Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?No | sell | 27.74 | $0.630 | $17.48 | Jul 7, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 24.35 |
| $0.510 |
| $12.42 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $67 on July 6?No | sell | 11 | $0.110 | $1.21 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of July 6 2026?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.590 | $0.09 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.440 | $11 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.96 | $0.360 | $1.43 | Jul 6, 2026 |
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes | sell | 24.42 | $0.320 | $7.81 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.370 | $4.07 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 24.81 | $0.440 | $10.92 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 35.26 | $0.242 | $8.53 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.516 | $18.05 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in July 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Yes | sell | 32.87 | $0.298 | $9.8 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?Yes | sell | 25.82 | $0.124 | $3.21 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | sell | 28.88 | $0.360 | $10.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by July 31?No | sell | 23.87 | $0.810 | $19.33 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 2?Down | sell | 21 | $0.221 | $4.65 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 21.12 | $0.400 | $8.45 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | sell | 27.58 | $0.790 | $21.79 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 27.27 | $0.600 | $16.36 | Jul 2, 2026 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.59 | $0.340 | $4.28 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?No | sell | 25.38 | $0.600 | $15.23 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.840 | $2.33 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | sell | 27.84 | $0.710 | $19.77 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 27.9 | $0.810 | $22.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 30.09 | $0.371 | $11.16 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 10.1 | $0.570 | $5.76 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?No | sell | 30.53 | $0.490 | $14.96 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes | sell | 22.07 | $0.810 | $17.88 | Jun 30, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up | sell | 25.02 | $0.370 | $9.26 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 23.66 | $0.800 | $18.93 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 20 and 21 cents?No | sell | 13 | $0.700 | $9.1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 19 and 20 cents?Yes | sell | 21.14 | $0.330 | $6.98 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 41.49 | $0.169 | $7.02 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 22.05 | $0.800 | $17.64 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 36.97 | $0.190 | $7.02 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 23.7 | $0.410 | $9.72 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes | sell | 20.82 | $0.720 | $14.99 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.230 | $5.75 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | sell | 22.45 | $0.150 | $3.37 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | sell | 26.71 | $0.417 | $11.14 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 23.57 | $0.500 | $11.79 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No | sell | 26.22 | $0.240 | $6.29 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Yes | sell | 22.37 | $0.209 | $4.67 | Jun 25, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up | sell | 20.67 | $0.325 | $6.71 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Jun 25, 2026 |
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 24.02 | $0.720 | $17.29 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.44 | $0.130 | $3.18 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 29.8 | $0.108 | $3.23 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 9 | $0.410 | $3.69 | Jun 24, 2026 |