Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.58K | $0.761 | $1.4K | +$195.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 114.89 | $0.465 | $53.37 | 2m ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.16K |
| $0.850 |
| $994.19 |
| +$5.81 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.427 | $609.23 | +$171.56 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 868.26 | $0.646 | $581.73 | +$21.03 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 626.67 | $0.832 | $560.87 | +$39.53 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 275.19 | $0.659 | $196.76 | +$15.42 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 229.7 | $0.754 | $178.02 | +$4.82 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | No | 149.67 | $0.932 | $142.19 | +$2.69 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | No | 346.62 | $0.282 | $128.25 | +$30.56 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 170.76 | $0.553 | $68.3 | -$26.13 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? | No | 72.4 | $0.570 | $56.83 | +$15.57 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? | Yes | 114.89 | $0.465 | $52.85 | -$0.52 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 51.05 | $0.601 | $49.11 | +$18.42 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | No | 66.14 | $0.491 | $44.64 | +$12.13 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 47.86 | $0.864 | $42.83 | +$1.46 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 114.72 | $0.302 | $39.87 | +$5.22 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 328.91 | $0.124 | $22.37 | -$18.5 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31? | No | 23.09 | $0.270 | $19.74 | +$13.51 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? | Yes | 96.21 | $0.448 | $17.8 | -$25.28 |
 Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.29 | $0.560 | $16.16 | +$3.68 |
 Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31? | Databricks | 32.34 | $0.266 | $14.88 | +$6.28 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? | Yes | 29.98 | $0.240 | $13.64 | +$6.45 |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31? | Yes | 14.75 | $0.620 | $12.83 | +$3.68 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? | No | 16.36 | $0.354 | $10.23 | +$4.44 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 12.14 | $0.610 | $9.29 | +$1.88 |
| buy |
| 8.82 |
| $0.290 |
| $2.56 |
| 40m ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 8.82 | $0.300 | $2.65 | 40m ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 28.23 | $0.300 | $8.47 | 40m ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 8.82 | $0.300 | $2.65 | 40m ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 8.82 | $0.300 | $2.65 | 40m ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 45.61 | $0.320 | $14.6 | 40m ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 8.82 | $0.320 | $2.82 | 40m ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 163.05 | $0.310 | $50.55 | 40m ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 8.82 | $0.320 | $2.82 | 40m ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 28.23 | $0.320 | $9.03 | 40m ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 8.82 | $0.330 | $2.91 | 40m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 144.99 | $0.580 | $84.09 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 291.17 | $0.654 | $190.54 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 323.68 | $0.660 | $213.59 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 16.46 | $0.660 | $10.86 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 64.32 | $0.670 | $43.09 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 27.64 | $0.670 | $18.52 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 516.91 | $0.417 | $215.34 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 2.67 | $0.470 | $1.25 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 55.56 | $0.760 | $42.23 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 49.55 | $0.760 | $37.66 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 0.79 | $0.770 | $0.61 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.770 | $0.32 | 2h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 113.59 | $0.183 | $20.79 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 423.52 | $0.409 | $173.05 | 6h ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 229.09 | $0.940 | $215.34 | 14h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 107.77 | $0.681 | $73.44 | 14h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 327.76 | $0.760 | $249.1 | 14h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 57.44 | $0.460 | $26.42 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.08 | $0.870 | $34 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 99.53 | $0.430 | $42.8 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.97 | $0.430 | $3 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 142.62 | $0.430 | $61.33 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.97 | $0.430 | $3 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 28.6 | $0.420 | $12.01 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 14.3 | $0.420 | $6.01 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 32.4 | $0.580 | $18.79 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 86.75 | $0.539 | $46.74 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.78 | $0.840 | $7.38 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 164.7 | $0.110 | $18.12 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 7.73 | $0.950 | $7.34 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.53 | $0.950 | $0.5 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 362.56 | $0.950 | $344.43 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.47 | $0.110 | $1.81 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.03 | $0.110 | $0.99 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 235.69 | $0.610 | $143.77 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 186.18 | $0.590 | $109.85 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.81 | $0.110 | $0.31 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.19 | $0.110 | $0.46 | 2d ago |