Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.380 | $19.21 | -$0.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?No | sell | 15.93 | $0.400 | $6.37 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 62.5 |
| $0.320 |
| $15.94 |
| -$4.06 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | No | 3.41 | $0.320 | $3.31 | +$2.22 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | Yes | 4.41 | $0.680 | $2.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 4.01 | $0.420 | $2.13 | +$0.44 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.66 | $0.773 | $1.49 | +$0.2 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 3.72 | $0.480 | $1.15 | -$0.63 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | No | 1.19 | $0.910 | $1.08 | -$0.01 |
 Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28? | Yes | 4.98 | $0.200 | $0.97 | -$0.02 |
 Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? | No | 1.61 | $0.380 | $0.8 | +$0.19 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.600 | $0.79 | +$0.1 |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | Yes | 1.12 | $0.420 | $0.48 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 2.17 | $0.181 | $0.39 | -$0.01 |
 Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.5 | $0.260 | $0.39 | -$0.26 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | No | 1.16 | $0.331 | $0.37 | -$0.02 |
 Will the season series between the Panthers and Saints end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 0.69 | $0.480 | $0.34 | +$0.01 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? | No | 2.35 | $0.351 | $0.18 | -$0.65 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.66 | $0.200 | $0.17 | -$0.16 |
 Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? | No | 0.44 | $0.240 | $0.16 | +$0.06 |
 Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? | No | 0.5 | $0.330 | $0.12 | -$0.04 |
 Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.530 | $0.07 | +$0 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.761 |
| $38.05 |
| 1d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 152.32 | $0.260 | $39.6 | 1d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 192.5 | $0.270 | $51.98 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?No | sell | 20 | $0.171 | $3.42 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | sell | 28.52 | $0.810 | $23.1 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | sell | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | sell | 15.74 | $0.830 | $13.06 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | sell | 28.44 | $0.840 | $23.89 | 1d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.470 | $97.92 | 1d ago |
 Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.310 | $19.38 | 1d ago |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No | sell | 21.97 | $0.910 | $19.99 | 1d ago |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?No | sell | 18.57 | $0.290 | $5.39 | 1d ago |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?No | sell | 42.03 | $0.300 | $12.61 | 1d ago |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | sell | 15.96 | $0.770 | $12.29 | 1d ago |
 Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.073 | $0.27 | 1d ago |
 Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No | sell | 9.85 | $0.640 | $6.3 | 1d ago |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 336.74 | $0.080 | $26.94 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.090 | $2.25 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 125.37 | $0.130 | $16.3 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 16.4 | $0.380 | $6.23 | 2d ago |
 Will the season series between the Lions and Vikings end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | sell | 20.57 | $0.530 | $10.9 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.340 | $23.8 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | sell | 40.68 | $0.250 | $10.17 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | sell | 71.11 | $0.260 | $18.49 | 2d ago |
 Will the season series between the Bengals and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | sell | 33.89 | $0.540 | $18.3 | 2d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 179.67 | $0.090 | $16.17 | 2d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.730 | $19.72 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 62.22 | $0.360 | $22.4 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 102.22 | $0.400 | $40.89 | 2d ago |
 Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 113.49 | $0.050 | $5.67 | 2d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.090 | $3.51 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 138.88 | $0.360 | $50 | 2d ago |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 81.96 | $0.493 | $40.41 | 2d ago |
 Will León finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 2d ago |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?No | sell | 13.84 | $0.340 | $4.71 | 2d ago |
 Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Yes | sell | 15.73 | $0.300 | $4.72 | 2d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 41.6 | $0.090 | $3.74 | 2d ago |
 Will Óscar Estupiñán (FC Juárez) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Liga MX season?Yes | sell | 155.05 | $0.001 | $0.16 | 2d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.42 | $0.410 | $11.65 | 2d ago |
 Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?No | sell | 45.54 | $0.270 | $12.3 | 2d ago |
 Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | sell | 36.36 | $0.420 | $15.27 | 2d ago |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?No | sell | 44.64 | $0.148 | $6.61 | 2d ago |
 Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.180 | $5.63 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | sell | 56.33 | $0.560 | $31.54 | 2d ago |
 Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?Yes | sell | 328.83 | $0.020 | $6.71 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 138.88 | $0.360 | $50 | 3d ago |