Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 600 | $0.500 | $301.5 | +$1.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 201.99 | $0.880 | $177.75 | Jun 3, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 600 |
| $0.500 |
| $298.5 |
| -$1.5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 100 | $0.500 | $85.55 | +$35.55 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.500 | $14.45 | -$35.55 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 13 | $0.860 | $12.6 | +$1.42 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 12 | $0.963 | $11.83 | +$0.27 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 2 | $0.500 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.280 |
| $56.05 |
| Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 125 | $0.810 | $101.25 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 196.52 | $0.370 | $72.71 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.390 | $2.73 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 800 | $0.859 | $686.96 | May 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.959 | $9.59 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Jazz vs. RocketsRockets | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.973 | $9.73 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.840 | $12.6 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 13 | $0.860 | $11.18 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.970 | $11.64 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Mavericks vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 11.51 | $0.869 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.800 | $640 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Thunder vs. NuggetsNuggets | buy | 500 | $0.270 | $134.95 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Pacers vs. HornetsHornets | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Pistons vs. HeatHeat | buy | 300 | $0.031 | $9.3 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.984 | $11 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.080 | $3.28 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Hawks vs. SunsSuns | buy | 23.73 | $0.990 | $23.49 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 252.76 | $0.993 | $250.99 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 500 | $0.095 | $47.5 | Oct 28, 2025 |